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CommentariesStudiesFvS Wealth Price Index for GermanyFvS Wealth Price Series for the Euro AreaFvS Business Cycle IndicatorFvS Real Economy TrackerFvS Inflation TrackerThe Euro MeltdownPressPeer reviewed publications
Press

15.04.2020 - Comments

Corona: Forecasts and their Problems

by Philipp Immenkötter

Every day, insights about the corona virus and its possible future development are pouring in on us. Many forecasts give rise to hopes for a relaxation of restrictions on work and life. On the other hand, other forecasts suggest that the health care system will be overloaded. What problems are associated with forecasts and what about the capacity of the health care system?

This article is available in German only.

Related Articles

03.03.2020 - Macroeconomics

Corona: What pasta, rice and bell curves have in common

by Philipp Immenkötter

While the pasta and rice shelves in German supermarkets are slowly being emptied and one gets the impression that the neighbours are preparing for a long quarantine, one should once again keep in mind how epidemics typically progress.

29.01.2020 - Society & Finance

Corona: A virus goes viral

by Philipp Immenkötter

Since mid-January, the Coronavirus has been keeping the world on tenterhooks and even stock markets do not seem immune to it. Markets are particularly susceptible to narratives - short stories that convey emotions and values.